Indian Politics through Legislative Assembly Polls, Dec.2013

.........And the mandate of people’s faith with respect to  Assembly polls of four states are clear. Although it comes with answers of many questions but still there is unsolved questions left. First three states which undergone through election before Delhi has given laugh on face of Bharatiya Janta Party(BJP) and they have all the reason to do so as they won and able to get a new state in their side with leadership of Experienced Chief Minisarial candidate i.e Vasundhara Raje Shindhiya. We can debate over the efforts of Mrs. Schindhiya vis a vis Role of Narendra Modi vis a vis efforts of BJP ground workers and its cadre or their joint efforts in this huge win over Ruling Congress (Gahlote) but here a joint anti incumbency factor cannot be ignored which in trems of people’s rage against the ruling party at centre as well as state was most crucial and even was deciding factor which caused to stop congress to minimum possible seats. Here, it cannot be ignored that development works of Gahlot Government (that itself in question as it is alleged that Gahlot led Congress Government was sleeping in first three years and worked or tried to work in wake of election) got diluted in the rage of people in view of nation wide problem of price rise connected with corruption, against the central Government. Although BJP takes it result of semi final and ready to maintain this spirit for the final test of Loksabha election next year.

As far as Madhya Pradesh and Chhatishgarh are concerned , BJP able to retain their government with good Governance of Shiv Raj Singh Chauhan and Dr. Raman Singh respectively. Here, Even Modi’s role cannot be ignored as people voted with view of strengthening BJP at state and at centre next year with Modi. Here, we should appreciate these both C.Ms. of BJP who happen to be best C.Ms. of BJP apart from Mr. Modi himself and Mr. Manohar Parikar at Goa. Although Raman Singh is able to maintain his hatrict but with a lession of people to check his governance for people’s welfare. BJP is looking forward to next year Loksabha with this boost.

But the most important and rather historic results is of Delhi and it gives us answers to many questions and gives various questions to be thought and answered. There are three dimension to evaluate the mandate of Delhi and all are equally relevant but I leave best for last. Starting from debacle of Congress to perform up to mark which left it to minimum number of 8 from its clear majority of last time and history of last three consecutive tenure under one and in many way undisputed and unblemished leadership of its C.M. Shiela Dixit except the shadow of arrogance reflected lately in her. It is relevant to think whether the visible development work of congress of last 15 years are shadowed under the bad image of central ruling Government or whether it was a sense of repeated and continuous stability lead to overlooking of the very voter base or failue of government to come up with innovative plans and policies (although innovative plans and policies are not seen in any party’s manifesto keeping in view the possibility of same for Delhi being Nation’s capital and diversity of its residing population). Nobody can ignore a wave of rage of people against the unruly price rise and issue of corruption which has been highlighted though series of movements and fortunate coincidence of Delhi being center stage of same in many ways. Hence, loss of Congress in Delhi in many way a historic defeat in view of emergence of new Political debut of a Party which claims its manifesto of Honest Politics and people’s faith in it due to the very process of the formation of this party which is closely been watched and felt by people’s of Delhi. People of Delhi closely seen the Anna Movement and efforts of Team Anna , attitude of Central Government and approach of most of the politicians to taking common man for-granted in hide of rules and regulation and lack of strong political will and thereafter forcible break of movement where Team Anna had only two option: First, fight from outside politics to reform very approach of politics or rule of politics and  Second, to get into politics and do or cause to do what they trying to get done by doing movements. Team Anna had to go through a crack where most of key associates of Anna decided to form Aam Aadmi Party(AAP: I  must say a clever named party with an appeal to common man itself). Although fight behind curtain between Anna and his most of team turned AAP which is cleverly handled by AAP knowing the fact that their one accusation of loose talk about Anna may cause permanent damage to them in spite of same sense of respect  shown on the part of Anna. Moving ahead AAP’s effort to gather people’s rage against the corruption and rusted system of political Governance and playing role of Opposition in Delhi in better way than BJP. Here, Nirbhaya’s case and failure of state Government in preventing such cases and weak remarks and attitude of  C.M. to Police officials shown the government in bad light and proved them weak not only in way of administration but also lack of strong political will. In these situation, Arvind Kejriwal has able to manage and maintain people’s rage against the abovesaid situation and good option of AAP before them. Here,  self poisoning approach of government which failed to understand or conveniently ignored people’s rage , worked in favour of AAP to show themselves in good light. Any case AAP able to give an honest option to voters who was tired with same system of politics and wanted to give a chance to somebody on whom they wanted to trust. Here, problem of BJP was that it was also working against the Government and channelizing the vote agaisnt the government but did not know the channelized vote may go either to  kitty of BJP or AAP which was applicable to AAP’s effort also but AAP had advantage of being new player with no records.

In view of abovesaid factors we see a result where BJP is emerged as largest political party but slightly behind the majority and AAP is just behind BJP. In view of AAP’s manifesto it will neither take or give support of either Congress or BJP and in deviation of this self imposed bar their credibility will be diluted. In this situation AAP has left with two option either go ahead with president Rule which has warning attached with it that it may work against when next assembly election will be held with Loksabha election and AAP will be held responsible for re-election, congress might be at gaining position or at-least stick to present number and BJP will have fair chance to say that it was mistake of AAP which burdened people with re-election. Congress is untouchable for any party at this time and may work as “Bhasmasur” for them. But it will be most interesting and relevant to watch how and what will AAP do in this situation. There is one possibility left with AAP that it supports BJP in floor test and cause to form BJP Government and enjoy its crucial role of working as a responsible and constructive opposition( which is a term alien in Indian Politics) but if AAP able to do the same, it will be able to gain people’s trust and will get experience with time. In this situation AAP on one hand wouldn't have to perform on its long list of promises and on other hand can keep check on BJP Government and will be a fair chance at next election. Although Clear mandate always works in favour of democracy but this mandate also gives a chance to political parties to work selflessly for people. If any such constructive decision taken by AAP and if agreeable to BJP, it will raise stature of AAP. But in case if AAP will be selfish and thinks that immediate RE-ELECTION will help it to reach majority, it may or may not be favourable to AAP. This is a time to show political maturity in favour of people of Delhi and these unanswered questions lies in future. Lets see what is in future of Delhi.